That may drop dramatically once GTA 6 is officially on the horizon. It’s why GTA 5 has been able to see these massive, long-term sales even 6, 7, 10 years after release. At least at a higher attach rate than other games. A) the game itself still sells lots of actual copies, as if there’s a chance you’re buying a game console in the past two generations that are currently for sale, GTA 5 is probably a game you’ll buy with it.
GTA BOXVILLE UPDATE
Update 2 (5/12): While there are many reasons behind why Rockstar isn’t announcing GTA 6 officially yet, I believe the primary one, mentioned previously, is that Rockstar is afraid of killing off GTA 5 spending if they do so. I also don’t think that the game will work on 120 million Nintendo Switches, cutting out that market. The video game market has also expanded dramatically since 2013, so greater numbers of sales are theoretically possible, albeit it took ten years and three generations of consoles for GTA 5 to reach those highs. If anything, they’re probably going to underpromise and overdeliver. Take-Two is definitely not overstating the case for potential sales of the game and the revenue it will bring the company.
No other full-priced premium game has anything close to its sales total. GTA 5 sales put it above Wii Sports, PUBG, Mario Kart 8, the original Super Mario Bros, Red Dead Remption 2 and Pokemon Red/Blue by anywhere from 100 million to 130 million copies. The only game that has sold more is Minecraft, but at a far cheaper price. In December of 2014, a little over a year since release, GTA 5 shipped 45 million copies, including 10 million copies of the new re-release for next-gen consoles.īy April 2018, it had made $6 billion and was estimated to be the most profit-generating entertainment product in history, in part as well from revenue generated from GTA Online microtransactions, in addition to the base sales of the game.Īs it stands today, GTA 5 has sold 180 million copies. Just six weeks after release, GTA 5 had shipped 29 million copies, which already exceeded the lifetime sales of GTA 4. For context, a decade later, The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom just sold 10 million copies in its first three days, which is considering insane even in present day. In 2013, with 24 hours, Grand Theft Auto 5 sold $815 million or about 11.21 million copies, double analyst predictions. Update: I think we need a little more context on the scale of GTA 5, to understand just why Take-Two’s lofty promises here make more sense: GTA 6 will be massive, and now, it appears like it may be just over two years away.
However, a GTA 6 release that isn’t ready would be even worse, a-la-Cyberpunk (sorry Cyberpunk but you will never not be brought up in conversations like this). A delay out of that would likely produce major downturns for their stock. But with 11 years since the last game, I think Rockstar may be in a better position than other studios to pick a date and stick with it, particularly when they’re making these enormous revenue forecasts for that specific time periods. Most AAA game are delayed at least a few times these days, and whatever date you hear first, it might be 3-18 months before the game is actually released. Of course there is also the possibility of a delay. Still, given that GTA 6 is probably going to end up being one of the most anticipated games of all time, I would not bet against it. But even within the GTA franchise, GTA 5 is a huge outlier. It is likely that with the continued expansion of the video game industry over the past decade, GTA 6, barring any disasters, will probably be the fastest selling game in history, beating GTA 5’s $1 billion in three days, and depending on its long-term prospects, in theory could go on to outsell GTA 5 over the long, long term.
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